Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 6-2
Sport Recife vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAH
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
SPO
15%
22%
63%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
SPO
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
CEN
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
MIS
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
CEN
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |