Sport Recife vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
80%
13%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 2
SPO
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 0
SDJ
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 2
SPO
21%
26%
54%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 1
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
CEA
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
67%
19%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |