Sport Recife vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2009 |
COR
4 - 3
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
GOI
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPO
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SPO
3 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPO
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
GOI
0 - 2
AVA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
AVA
1 - 2
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 3
PAL
26%
26%
49%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 0
AVA
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 2
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |