Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-2
Sport Recife vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATP
46%
27%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 1
SPO
19%
25%
57%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 2
SPO
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 3
VIT
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 1
TIG
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 2
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 2
GOD
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
ARS
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |