Sport Recife vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
GUA
4 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1988 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1988 |
SPO
0 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
ALI
0 - 2
UNI
46%
23%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
2 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1988 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALI
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |