Sport Recife U20 vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
AME
3 - 2
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 4
INT
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
CEA
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
7 - 2
SPO
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 2
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |