Copa Do Brasil U20 Semi-finals
Global 5-7
Sport Recife U17 vs Palmeiras U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
77.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
RFE
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
RFE
2 - 1
CRU
17%
17%
66%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
RFE
1 - 0
COR
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
RFE
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
RFE
4 - 1
AME
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 5
PAL
19%
19%
63%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
CDR
1 - 4
PAL
6%
10%
84%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
PAL
7 - 0
CDR
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
10 - 1
SGA
86%
9%
4%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |