Copa Do Brasil U20 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 11-2
Sport Recife Sub 17 vs Fast Sub17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
NFC
0 - 9
RFE
8%
13%
79%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
CRB
2 - 5
RFE
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RFE
4 - 1
CRB
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RFE
3 - 2
CSP
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 6 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 3
RFE
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Fast Sub17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
NFC
0 - 9
RFE
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NFC
3 - 1
AEC
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
AEC
0 - 0
NFC
32%
22%
47%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NFC
4 - 1
DIA
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |