Sport Loreto vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Loreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SPO
5 - 0
ALF
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
HUA
4 - 1
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -3 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 2
SPO
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SRP
4 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 0
ALI
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 1
WIL
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
HUA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -3 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |