Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-9
Sport Huancayo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Huancayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
9 - 0
HUA
63%
19%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HUA
0 - 0
LEO
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LEO
5 - 2
HUA
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 1
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
HUA
1 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 2
MWA
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
9 - 0
HUA
63%
19%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 0
LFC
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |