Sport Colombia vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 3
TAC
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 1
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
SPC
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
LIB
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
LQE
0 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NAC
4 - 1
SPT
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |