Itupiranga vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itupiranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AMI
1 - 1
SCI
17%
19%
64%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAR
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
PAY
4 - 0
SCI
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 4
AGU
27%
23%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
SCI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
SAO
74%
15%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
TUN
15%
19%
66%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
TUN
5 - 3
TOC
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
JCA
2 - 2
TUN
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TUN
2 - 1
4DE
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |