Sport Cáceres vs Lolo Fernandez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Cáceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
3 - 0
CAN
21%
23%
56%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
VRA
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CLF
0 - 2
CAN
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAN
68%
18%
15%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lolo Fernandez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
CLF
39%
22%
39%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CLF
0 - 2
CAN
26%
20%
54%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 1
CLF
39%
22%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |