Copa Peru Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 12-1
Sport Cáceres vs Juventud Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Cáceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JUP
1 - 4
CAN
24%
20%
55%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
CAN
21%
23%
56%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 1
CLF
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VRA
3 - 0
CAN
21%
23%
56%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
VRA
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JUP
1 - 4
CAN
24%
20%
55%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JUP
3 - 3
CDH
13%
20%
66%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 0
JUP
39%
22%
40%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JUP
2 - 2
CCP
37%
25%
38%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JUP
1 - 0
ALI
33%
21%
46%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +1 |