Sport Boys Warnes vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
JWI
2 - 1
SBW
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
SBW
1 - 2
STR
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
SBW
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
SBW
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SBW
0 - 0
BLO
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
BLO
1 - 3
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 2
OPE
33%
26%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOL
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |