Sport Boys Warnes vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SBW
1 - 3
UNI
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SBW
1 - 1
RPO
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
SBW
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
SBW
0 - 1
OPE
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
OPE
2 - 1
SBW
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
JWI
0 - 4
PEÑ
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
JWI
2 - 0
OPE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
JWI
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
JWI
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
JWI
2 - 2
PET
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |