Sport Boys Warnes vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 3
SBW
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
SBW
0 - 3
ROY
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 1
SBW
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
SBW
4 - 1
RPO
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SBW
3 - 0
DES
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
AUR
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AUR
0 - 2
ROY
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
OPE
2 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |