Sport Boys Warnes vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 1
SBW
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SBW
0 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
BLO
2 - 0
SBW
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SBW
1 - 1
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SBW
1 - 0
CIC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
BOL
56%
22%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 2
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 1
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAC
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 2
BOL
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -6 |