Benfica Castelo Branco vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
6º
25
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
COI
2 - 1
BEN
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 1
LUS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 0
BEN
46%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
GDF
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
GOU
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COI
2 - 0
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
LUS
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 1
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |