Benfica Castelo Branco vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 1
BEN
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 0
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
VSC
2 - 0
BEN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
VSC
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
POM
2 - 1
VIT
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADN
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PIE
2 - 2
VIT
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |