Benfica Castelo Branco vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCA
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
0 - 7
BEN
13%
17%
71%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
BEN
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
BEN
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACV
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
OLI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
OLI
23%
24%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
FEI
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |