Benfica Castelo Branco vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 1
BEN
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 5
BEN
6%
13%
81%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLE
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 1
SOU
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLE
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
SOU
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADN
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |