Benfica Castelo Branco vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOU
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 4
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
UNM
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
OGR
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
ADN
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 2
AMO
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |