Benfica Castelo Branco vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
BEN
30%
25%
46%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
ORI
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MAF
1 - 3
BEN
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PIN
1 - 3
BEN
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
5 - 0
UDL
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SER
1 - 4
ORI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PIN
3 - 3
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
SER
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SER
3 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAF
0 - 0
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |