Benfica Castelo Branco vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACV
1 - 1
BEN
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
TOC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COI
2 - 1
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 3
CIN
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
BEN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAM
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
LUS
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAO
45%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
CES
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |