Benfica Castelo Branco vs Rabo Peixe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
6º
30
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
GDF
2 - 1
BEN
27%
27%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
UFT
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
BEN
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
USA
4 - 1
BEN
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rabo Peixe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 1
GOU
53%
23%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
RAB
27%
25%
49%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
COI
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +3 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
RAB
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RAB
0 - 2
SER
39%
28%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |