Benfica Castelo Branco vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
IDA
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 3
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
GDF
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
CON
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
PRA
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PRA
2 - 0
CON
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
PRA
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PRA
1 - 1
IDA
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PRA
1 - 2
PEN
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |