Benfica Castelo Branco vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
BEN
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
COV
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
1DE
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 1
PRA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 0
CAS
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ANG
4 - 1
PRA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 0
UDL
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 2
COV
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |