Benfica Castelo Branco vs Pombal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 3
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAM
0 - 1
BEN
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOU
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
MOR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
POM
1 - 0
OSL
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POM
0 - 1
TOU
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ADN
1 - 3
POM
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
POM
2 - 1
VIT
58%
21%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |