Benfica Castelo Branco vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
BEN
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 2
ANA
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 4
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
ACV
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
BEN
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAM
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 1
OPE
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
LUS
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
ACV
24%
26%
50%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
ESP
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |