Benfica Castelo Branco vs Oliveira Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 0
BEN
71%
20%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 1
BEN
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
IRI
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
BEN
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAT
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
4 - 0
OLI
73%
18%
8%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
IRI
3 - 2
OLI
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
FAT
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 4
OLI
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
OLI
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |