Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 1
BEN
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 2
BEN
15%
22%
64%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
BEN
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
POM
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ADN
2 - 3
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 0
MOR
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
POM
0 - 2
NAV
24%
24%
51%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
ADN
72%
18%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAV
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
FAF
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |