Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
BEN
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOU
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
7%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAV
12%
21%
68%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAV
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |