Benfica Castelo Branco vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 0
GRA
89%
8%
3%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
BEN
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
BEN
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEN
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 0
MOR
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
OLE
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 5
MOR
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
OLI
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |