Benfica Castelo Branco vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
12º
6º
51
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 0
BEN
46%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
GDF
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 1
OLI
8%
15%
77%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCA
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 4
SLB
2%
9%
90%
|
36 | 89 | 53 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 3
LUS
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
LUS
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 0
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +2 |