Benfica Castelo Branco vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
BEN
18%
20%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PRA
2 - 1
BEN
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 1
UDL
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
IDE
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 3
PRA
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 3
ANA
19%
24%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
IDE
11%
17%
73%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -2 |