Benfica Castelo Branco vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
UDL
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 2
BEN
22%
26%
52%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
0 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
GAF
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
2 - 2
IDE
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 2
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 4
IDE
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
5 - 0
IDE
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -4 |