Benfica Castelo Branco vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
VIT
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 0
BEN
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 0
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 5
BEN
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GFC
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
POR
4 - 2
GFC
43%
25%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GFC
3 - 0
OLH
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 0
GFC
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GFC
2 - 1
TON
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |