Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
CON
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 2
PEN
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 1
BEN
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GDF
3 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GDF
2 - 0
OLE
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
GDF
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GDF
1 - 0
PRA
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
GDF
27%
23%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |