Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fornos de Algodres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.6%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.5%
1.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 0
FAV
93%
6%
2%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
23%
27%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
ADM
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 1
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 5
UDL
8%
19%
74%
|
17 | 55 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 0
FAL
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 2
FAV
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ADN
3 - 1
FAL
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |