Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 3
BEN
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BMA
1 - 2
BEN
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
BEN
48%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
IDE
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FAT
2 - 0
RDA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
FAT
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
GDF
3 - 3
FAT
27%
23%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FAT
3 - 1
BMA
17%
22%
62%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |