Benfica Castelo Branco vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
76.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SIN
0 - 0
BEN
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
USA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
8 - 0
ADM
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BEN
4 - 2
IDA
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CON
2 - 2
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LEX
0 - 1
FAR
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 2
SPC
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 3
FAR
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 2
ACV
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |