Benfica Castelo Branco vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAM
47%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 0
BEN
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
CES
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACV
3 - 0
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
PAM
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TOC
1 - 1
ESP
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 1
ADN
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COI
0 - 2
ESP
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |