Benfica Castelo Branco vs Condeixa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BEN
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
OLE
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Condeixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CON
40%
24%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 1
CON
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
CON
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |