Benfica Castelo Branco vs União Idanhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 3
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
GDF
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
CON
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União Idanhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 1
IDA
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
IDA
1 - 2
PEN
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PRA
1 - 1
IDA
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
IDA
0 - 4
VIT
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
IDA
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |