Benfica Castelo Branco vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
OLE
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
4 - 3
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |