Benfica Castelo Branco vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
4 - 1
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
1DE
2 - 1
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAF
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAF
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
CAL
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
OPE
34%
27%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAF
35%
29%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |