Benfica Castelo Branco vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
SOU
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
BEN
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
PAM
2 - 1
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
ADN
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
BEN
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAM
2 - 1
BUS
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 2
ADN
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 1
BUS
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 3
OPE
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
BUS
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |