Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval 1º de Maio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 3
BEN
35%
29%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BEN
6 - 1
MOU
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 2
PRA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |