Benfica Castelo Branco vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.7%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.4%
1.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 1
BEN
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 2
OLI
65%
19%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
BEN
7%
15%
79%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
ADN
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
ADN
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OLE
3 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
7%
18%
76%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |